my oscar predictions...

...best supporting actress...

penelope cruz vicky christina barcelona

amy adams doubt, viola davis doubt, taraji p. henson the curious case of benjamin button, marisa tomei the wrestler

...best supporting actor...
heath ledger the dark knight

josh brolin milk, robert downey jr. tropic thunder, phillip seymour hoffman doubt, michael shannon revolutionary road

...best actress...
kate winslet the reader

anne hathaway rachel getting married, angelina jolie changeling, melissa leo frozen river, meryl streep doubt

...best actor...
sean penn milk / mickey rourke the wrestler [too close to call]

richard jenkins the visitor, frank langella frost/nixon, brad pitt the curious case of benjamin button

...best director...
danny boyle slumdog millionaire

stephen daldry the reader, david fincher the curious case of benjamin button, ron howard frost/nixon, gus van sant milk

...best picture...
slumdog millionaire

the curious case of benjamin button, frost/nixon, milk, the reader